Posted August 26, 2023
Below are a couple of recent model runs that show an uptick in Atlantic hurricane activity. The first chart is the most recent and most likely to develop into a tropical storm. This storm in the Gulf comes right up the gut, similar to Hurricane Marco August 24th, 2020.
The second chart is another possible solution from yesterday. Both possibilities will impact Florida during the predicted dates. It’s also possible that nothing will happen.
Below is Hurricane Marco, back in August 2020.
August 2020, Courtesy of Fox 13
We are still pretty early in the season and as you know, the early possibilities are hitting. That means that more are possible next cycle as well. When you look at the hurricane dates below, notice we added Hawaii.
We talked about Hawaii way back in May as a possible location for hurricanes this year. Now, I did not predict landfall, because that is like hitting the bullseye, as the size of Hawaii is so small, but with Dora just 500 miles south, the return could hit or come close again late September and the first week of October.
You may notice the larger date range, this is because the new cycling pattern (23-24 LRC) will be settling in by the return, along with the new cycle length. Will it be longer or shorter?
22-23 Pattern Still in Charge
I am seeing subtle changes in the pattern but last year’s LRC is still in charge. We are late into August and the transition is underway. We will have a completely new pattern in place by the first of October. The GIF below is the last 30 days of 500 mb charts, in 4 seconds.
El Nino
The snow will be flying soon!
New Resort Pages Added (still a work in progress)
It’s the midway point in August and fall is right around the corner. We have predicted October 6 is the first snowfall date. This is just a guess based on how the pattern has been setting up.
It won’t be long now…….
Thanks for reading the blog! If you have any questions feel free to comment below or email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co
