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Cold Snow in Tahoe

By February 4, 2025No Comments

February 4, 2025

GFS, Euro, All Snow Let It Go Click Animate

GFS, Euro Ensemble Total Snow thru Model Range

Snow Totals from NWS

Forecast 

High Resolution HRRR Model 24 hr Snow Totals

This is quite an active period for the West Coast thru Idaho, Wyoming and Montana as deep totals are piling up.  31″ at Jackson Hole, 21 at Targhee, 16 at Big Sky and 18 at Revelstoke. 

In the PNW, Whistler 29, Bachelor 21, Hood 23 and finally Lake Tahoe getting some cold air and snow levels are dropping to lake level.  Heavy snow today that’ll bring totals in the 1-2 feet range by tomorrow.  Temperatures will drop to the upper teens at lake level late tonight for a well-deserved powder day tomorrow.  

That system moves out of the west coast Tomorrow afternoon and loses energy–the Sierra essentially blocking the moisture.   It should clip northern Utah and Colorado Wednesday or Wednesday night after near record warm temperatures from the southwest flow.  Don’t get too comfortable with these warm temps as they will drop when we return to the Northwest Flow pattern Feb 18th.

Thursday afternoon, another wave moves onshore hitting Lake Tahoe with another shot of 1-2 feet.  The system looks cold, as of now with low temps in the low 20’s at 52oo feet.

The remnants of the AR, in combination of a PNW system, will bring another round of moisture to Utah and Colorado Friday.  This is a good system and will prime the pumps for hopefully a Trifecta around the 17th.  This is a moderate storm that should bring 1-2 feet for Utah and 8-12 for resorts along I-70 in Colorado. 

This is still a long way off so take that with a grain of salt.  

 

 

 

 

 

Long-Range Forecast Predictions (from yesterday)

It’s getting to be late in the season, February already, and you can tell by the list because it is becoming harder to screenshot the entire list without compromising the resolution.  If any of you know a better way you can comment below.  Perhaps converting into a PDF, but that’s too much work, right?

This is one of the harder seasons to forecast with the Ridge Pattern screwing up our usual average around 89%.  We are currently sitting at 85.7%.  I have long thought that 95% is about as high as you could go, and we haven’t come close to that percentage.  We have teased the 92-93 range only to be set back with Busts.

The next storm is on track and then we’ll enter the last set of predictions.  The last storm on the list is still 45 days out and we will release our final forecast thru May soon.

Long-Range Forecast thru Seasons End

Our long-range forecast for each region thru seasons end, featuring the Weather 2020 model will be out this week.  Here is a glance at Lake Tahoe.

First Tracks with FutureSnow?

If you are new to FutureSnow check out this page using the link in purple.   It will help to explain some of the terminology you will be reading on our blog, along with our methodology using the Cycling Weather PatternThanks for joining our Team!

 

Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co

 

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