February 6, 2025
Next Two Weeks Total Snow
I led with this screenshot because I haven’t seen a beautiful map like this in a while. This is the Active Part of the Pattern.
Surface, GFS and Euro All Snow (Click Animate)
GFS, Euro Ensemble Total Snow thru Model Range
Snow Totals from NWS
Forecast
We have a strong storm that is dumping at the Lake today thru tonight, with 1-2 feet likely for Kirkwood, Palisades, Dodge Ridge and Sugar Bowl. The models have had a difficult time figuring out this AR (atmospheric river), with liquid and snow levels.
This AR is unique because it is drawing moisture further south than usual with a strong influence from the MJO. Today, we get a break with lower temps to start and then a cold shot tonight. Tomorrow will be a great day to get on the hill–it’ll be cold though, bundle up as temps will be in the mid 20’s at 5200 ft with strong winds 25-35 with 60 mph gusts and ridgetop winds in the upper 70’s.
The energy from the Tahoe storm moves into Utah tonight with mountain snow and valley rain. The rain will end tomorrow night as the cold part of the storm brings snow to the valley floor. This should be a good storm with 10-16 expected for Alta, Snowbird and maybe Brighton (pronounced Bri-uun), with Park City/Canyons, Snowbasin and Powder Mountain in the 3-6 range.
Colorado has to wait until Friday night where this will be another one of those northern systems. This is the LRC (Lezak’s Recurring Cycle), or the cycling pattern. What happens in October and November will repeat and that has happened all season. We will get a break as the MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) has opened the lower storm track.
This split flow will bring a lot of snow to the southern part of the states of Colorado and Utah. Brian Head and Wolf Creek have been snubbed since early season, and this should (fingers crossed prey to Ullr) be a doozie.
Trifecta Watch
We have been watching the following system since mid-January. It is not a lock yet, but it is looking what it should look like. The models are unsure of the timing, similar to the AR out west, but our model predicted 3-400 percent of average snowfall that should equate to 2-3 feet of snow over 3-4 days with some places in the 4+ range. Stay tuned.
Below are some updated long-range charts for Aspen, Steamboat (Rabbit Ears Pass) and Wolf Creek. I threw in a temperature forecast as well, it doesn’t appear to be an issue for now. I like the control line for Wolf Creek on the snow chart–Lets Ride!
Long-Range Forecast thru Seasons End-
Our long-range forecast for each region thru seasons end, featuring the Weather 2020 model will be out this week. Here is a glance at Lake Tahoe.
First Tracks with FutureSnow?
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Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co.
