Major Powder Day, Full Boards Galore!

Nov 27, 2024

Daily Snow Stake

Let’s Ride!

I have never seen such widespread full boards, now some places did not clear, but it is still super cool.  What an amazing storm.  Thats it for today it’s time to ride.  We’ll have a great discussion tomorrow about the pattern.  This is shaping up to be a hell-of-a start to the season.  Many resorts are just opening.

24-25 Pattern

Cycle length

This is a long pattern between 55-65 days.  It is similar to the 21-22 cycle year where the cycle length was 64 days.  During that season, there were two distinct patterns within the pattern.  We had a regular pattern, where storms moved from the PNW southeast thru Utah and Colorado, and we had the “northern part of the pattern” where storms moved thru the PNW east, staying along and north of the US/Canada border. 

This pattern is similar, and we won’t know if it will remain the same until we get through these next couple of weeks.  When you look at the Long-Range Forecast Predictions for December, you don’t see many Utah and Colorado storms on there.  This is because of the northern part of the pattern.  That will flip around mid-December, and the Active Pattern will return for the Sierra and Rockies.  In fact, if I am right on this pattern, from Christmas until late January should be very good–as long as we have the right teleconnection help.

If we get help from the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the Artic Oscillation (AO) during the Northern Pattern, we can get bonus storms, as the whole pattern is amplified.  All we need from the AO is neutral conditions, at the least, with an MJO that is in phase 6-7 or 8.  Itis a plus to have strong negative AO with the aforementioned MJO phases. 

Lastly, if we get agreement from the AO and MJO during the Active Pattern, look out.  Then we will have a Trifecta like we had in the 19-20 season, where we had 60 inches in 5 days in Summit and Eagle counties, in February 20.  I can’t believe it has been that long.

Predictions Summary

This is what we do at FutureSnow.  We specialize in the long-range forecast so you can plan a ski or snowboard trip around powder.  It is amazing to see this chart below, from last year.  Now admittedly, I cherry picked this part of the chart that had only one bust, but it demonstrates the possibilities of weather prediction for the future.  You can pick a flight, hotel, car etc. and not have to pay “last minute” prices chasing a storm 3 days out.  

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Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co.  We have received many great questions, and it is a pleasure to answer them, so don’t hesitate to ask.