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Forecast Blog

San Diego Hurricane Watch

By August 16, 2023August 18th, 2023No Comments

Posted August 16, 2023


Hurricanes Rare in San Diego

Since 1850, a mere eight tropical cyclones have unleashed their gale-force winds upon San Diego. These include the San Diego Hurricane, in 1858, Emily in 1965; remnants of Hurricane Joanne in 1972; and what was left of Hurricane Kathleen in 1976.


Hurricane Nora (1997) was downgraded to a tropical storm, and Hurricane Kay (2022), which struck Baja California as a Cat 1 Hurricane. The aftermath Kay’s remnants traversed Southern California, unleashing floods and wind gusts of up to 100 mph (160 km/h) in certain regions.

In the majority of cases, the primary impact of these cyclones on California manifests as rainfall. Occasionally, this precipitation escalates to a point of severity, leading to floods and resultant damage.

This storm is forming right now, in the warm waters off the coast of South America. Pacific storms are more likely this year, due to the warm waters from El Niño.  We have already seen Hawaii being directly impacted by Hurricane Dora, which we talked about the possibility of a storm, hitting Hawaii in our official Hurricane Forecast May 19th.  The echo of Dora could return between September 27 and October 5th

Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico storms are less likely this year, due again to El Niño. El Niño affects the trade winds, somewhat blocking them in the aforementioned areas.  Hurricanes are still possible though, and we have predicted a strong possibility for Florida, and the gulf coast near Louisiana, to be hit.



Possible Hurricane Dates

Below are the predictions for possible Hurricanes using our long-range prediction formula.  

Aug 12-17 Pacific Storm  Hurricane Hilary  Confirmed

Aug 30-Sept 6 Florida

Sept 6-8th Louisiana

Sept 27-Oct 5 Hawaii

Sept 30-Oct 3rd Yucatan

Sept 30-Oct 5 Pacific Storm

New Resort Pages Added (still a work in progress)

It’s the midway point in August and fall is right around the corner. We have predicted October 6 is the first snowfall date. This is just a guess based on how the pattern has been setting up.

It won’t be long now…….

Thanks for reading the blog!  If you have any questions feel free to comment below or email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co

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