Nov 3, 2024
Daily Snow Stake UPDATED
Winter Storm Warnings for Winter Park, Breckenridge and Loveland Pass. Below are the updated snowfall totals for this storm. I’m not changing the totals; it still looks pretty close to the same.
I did not mention Monarch on the snowfall totals, but the resort looks good tonight–6-12, somewhere in that range. Also, the divide resorts are looking good, but their big numbers will be late tonight. We will have an update early tomorrow morning, by 6 am.
High Resolution thru Tuesday 6 am
Pattern/Forecast Discussion
I hope everyone enjoyed the extra hour of sleep! We are in day 28 of the 24-25 pattern. The current system is moving out of Utah and into Colorado will add a few more inches for the Cottonwood resorts Alta, Snowbird and Brighton with scattered snow showers this afternoon.
For Colorado, the storm gets rolling this morning for Steamboat, 11 am for divide resorts Arapahoe Basin and Loveland, this afternoon around 1 for Vail/Beaver Creek to Summit County, 2 pm for the San Juans.
The model totals have shifted a bit, but still a solid storm. I might be too bullish for Steamboat but hopefully it will work out, otherwise the snow totals look pretty solid.
Next Storm
Next System hits Utah and northern Colorado late Tuesday or early Wednesday morning and is the Nov 2 -4 storm on the predictions chart (below). There are a lot of new people who do not know how we forecast beyond model range. Once we get a break I will go through and explain how we do it. For now check out the “About” page. It has a brief explanation about our patent pending model.
LONG-RANGE TEST FORECAST +/- 2 days tolerance (Made October 15th)
October 29th, Tahoe, Utah and Colorado Verified
November 2 and 4th (2 Waves), Utah and Colorado Verified
November 8-9th, Utah and Colorado On GFS, Day Early
November 13th, Pacific Northwest On GFS, Day Early
November 17th, Utah and Colorado On GFS
November 22nd, Utah and Colorado Not in Range
December 3rd, Utah and Colorado Not in Range
Maps thru November 12th
Short Term
HRRR thru tonight 10 pm, NWS Colorado thru 5 pm Mon, NWS Pacific Northwest thru 4pm Tuesday
Pattern Discussion (Day 27)
Combined Snowfall Totals (from both waves) on the Second Charts.
Combined Snowfall Totals (from both waves) on the Second Charts, followed by the Ensemble model totals per region.
Canada
PNW
Utah
Colorado
Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co. We have received many great questions, and it is a pleasure to answer them, so don’t hesitate to ask.
