October 12, 2024
We Have a Storm on the GFS
Below is the 500 mb flow and the approaching cold front. click to animate
Projected rain and snow totals
The first major storm will be hitting Utah and Colorado this coming week, with the first wave coming in from a cut-off system Tuesday and Wednesday. That storm will bring much needed rain. Then a strong cold front will begin in the Pacific Northwest early Wednesday morning and move into Utah Thursday afternoon. There will probably be a couple of snow showers associated with the cold front, before a strong wave hits Friday morning.
This first wave, the cut-off system, should be a trough the next time it comes thru that will be followed by a second wave (Fridays Storm). This could bring our first Trifecta of the season if we get good teleconnection help. Remember when we talked about this potential a while back? Well, the wave formation is there so we just need the ingredients (Negative Artic Oscillation and Madden Julian Oscillation) to make it happen. With a strong MJO in the proper phase, this would be a great setup for Lake Tahoe.
This should be a good 10+ storm. We will keep an eye on it and project totals as we get a little closer. It’s time to tune those rock ski’s.
Hurricane Charts and the Power of the LRC
Verified Hits in Blue, the chart below was published to my X page @holmmike on June 10, 2024. The preliminary chart was published on FutureSnow.co on April 19, 2024. You can find it here https://futuresnow.co/fire-at-timberline-lodge/
Another successful year in hurricane prediction. Six storms predicted with three storms hitting the Trifecta of date, location and path. Corpus Christi, Florida West Coast (2) and our first predicted Typhoon all hitting the correct location within the +/- 5 days of the predicted date.
We hit the bullseye on Typhoon Krathon, date location and path and Hurricane Debby, also date, location and path. Hurricane Beryl we hit the location and path but was late, still within tolerance July 7th. Hurricane Francine, we predicted the correct date but missed the landfall location. We expected this to hit the Florida panhandle but instead missed by about 500 miles hitting Louisiana.
Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co. We have received many great questions, and it is a pleasure to answer them, so don’t hesitate to ask.