Nov 5, 2024 5:18 am
Daily Snow Stake
HRRR All Snow, All Snow Let It Go, GFS British Columbia/Alberta, Click/Animate
Pattern/Forecast Discussion
Day 30 Cycle 1
Utah
Well here we go again as another storm rolls in today for Utah and Colorado. For Utah, the models are looking a little better, the Cottonwood resorts Alta, Brighton, Solitude and Snowbird should be in the 6-12 range by this evening, with an additional 2-4 overnight tonight. Park City/Canyons, Snowbasin and Deer Valley in the 2-4 range today with 1-3 tonight. Brian Head 4-8.
Colorado
The storm moves in this morning from the north-northwest hitting the northern ranges around 10, the central mountains around noon and the southern mountains around 4. We will have good temperatures with this storm so the snow quality should be high.
The models have been all over the place and are beginning to get a handle on it but there is still a great deal of uncertainty after this first wave comes thru. The storm gets cutoff and appears to be divided into two parts, possibly sheering apart. Either way, the snow totals will be good for all mountains with the biggest potential for the San Juans.
Below are the NWS and High-Resolution model numbers. The next storm hits the Pacific Northwest Saturday and will take a similar path as the current system, possibly hitting Lake Tahoe.
LONG-RANGE TEST FORECAST +/- 2 days tolerance (Made October 15th)
October 29th, Tahoe, Utah and Colorado Verified
November 2 and 4th (2 Waves), Utah and Colorado Verified
November 8-9th, Utah and Colorado On GFS, 2 Days Early
November 13th, Pacific Northwest On GFS, 1 Day Early
November 17th, Utah and Colorado On GFS on time
November 22nd, Utah and Colorado Not in Range
December 3rd, Utah and Colorado Not in Range
Hurricane/Typhoon Watch
What we are doing with predicting hurricanes is ridiculous. If these two storms hit their target locations this will be Back-to-Back-Exact–which is a new term. It will also mark 8 accurately predicted Hurricanes. This is the Active Part of the Pattern for hurricanes, and this time of year they will likely not be severe.
These storms are related to Hurricane Helene and Typhoon Krathon that hit last cycle. You can see how they align on the chart.
Individual Resort Totals
Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co. We have received many great questions, and it is a pleasure to answer them, so don’t hesitate to ask.
