Jan 17, 2025
Incoming Storm
24 hr All Snow from the GFS, followed by the Euro and GFS Total Snow thru January 28th
National Weather Service total snowfall thru Sunday morning
Forecast
The storm is on its way to Utah and Colorado and as of this post is moving thru Big Sky, at the moment, headed towards Targhee and Jackson Hole. It is running late and will not reach Utah until late afternoon, probably around 4 pm.
The cold front that is associated with this storm will arrive earlier and should squeeze an inch or two before the heavier bands arrive tonight. Expect 2-4 for Alta and Snowbird with the potential for lake affect snow for Snowbasin. Another 2-4 likely tomorrow with the total snow high end up to a foot–fingers crossed.
In Colorado, similar story but with higher snowfall potential. Snow begins around 4-5 pm and temps will plummet when the cold front moves this afternoon. Expect 4-8 for Steamboat, Vail, Winter Park, El Dora, Loveland and Arapahoe Basin. The divide looks like the place to be tomorrow morning as this storm is going to head straight down the crest.
Next Storm Sunday Night-Monday
This is a weak trailing wave that will follow the aforementioned system.
From yesterday,
A look at the Long-range from the European Ensemble model
I’ve diagramed the first chart so you can get a sense of what to look for on the following charts.
LRC Model from Weather 2020
Taking a look at one of the early runs from the LRC model, you can see a few storms that stick out as possible 12+ powder days. Feb 17, 23, 31/April 1-2.
We’ll keep an eye on these storms and see how the model run performs. Other notables, you can look at the chart of counties with ski resorts and the projected liquid water equivalent (top chart) and snowfall for the month of February. We are still tweaking the model to get the proper output–so take this with a grain of salt.
One of our long-range goals is to find a way to predict large storms, in our “endless search for powder”. Each year we get better at reading the teleconnections in an attempt to solve their cycle lengths. The LRC model is one of these tools, still in its infancy, that helps with the other influences.
GFS 500 mb, GFS 24/hr All Snow, Euro and GFS Ensemble Total Snow
If you are new to FutureSnow check out this page using the link in purple. It will help to explain some of the terminology you will be reading on our blog, along with our methodology using the Cycling Weather Pattern. Thanks for joining our Team!
Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co.
