Posted June 21, 2024
Next Window
Hello everyone, I hope y’all are doing well. We are in the next phase of potential threats–albeit it is still really early in the season, but it is worth mentioning due to the hype machine (media) that keeps us “informed”.
Looking at the video board (above) from NBC, you can see the areas of potential development align with our forecast from May 19th for Brownsville and Florida. The storm that just came through Texas, Tropical Storm Alberto, and the heavy rains in Florida, are all from last fall’s pattern and are on schedule.
Looking at the spreadsheet chart of cycle dates, we are now entering the window that procured Hilary. Hilary hit last year off the west coast affecting San Diego, then an echo of Hilary, Lidia hit two cycles later.
We (FutureSnow) predicted Hilary based on Hurricane Estelle and Hurricane Kay, to the day, path and location. That hurricane developed in the preceding cycle pattern (22-23 49-day cycle). There are certain windows, or parts of the pattern that are more conducive for hurricanes than others. We are entering one of those windows now, so we will look for parts of the pattern that align with those parameters.
Below are a couple of charts that came through last week, during the preceding hurricane window. The echo of Hurricane Lee shows the same setup that we had back on September 16th. The following slide shows the current setup 6 cycles later, with a possible return next month July 27th for Maine/Nova Scotia and then September 9th. This specific hurricane has a less likely scenario that could occur 8 days earlier July 18 or Sept 1.
Look at these charts, they are practically identical.
Typhoon Prediction
This is the part of the pattern that produced a Typhoon last year and it is showing up, on time, on the GFS. This will be a first if this happens, that I know of. I don’t think anyone has ever predicted a Typhoon with the date, location, and path, so we’ll see how we do.
Looking at El Nino and steering winds.
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Crystal Mountain, Mount Hood Meadows, Timberline, 49 Degrees North, Bachelor, Mt Baker,
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Heavenly, Palisades Tahoe, Kirkwood, Dodge Ridge, Donner Ski Ranch
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Alta, Park City, Deer Valley, Brighton, Snowbird, Brian Head
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland
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