Posted June 13, 2024
Tropical Activity
Howdy everyone, I hope your summer is going well. I have been watching the tropics and have seen a few indicators that our forecasted predictions will show up. If these storms develop into hurricanes with the first possible window, that would be an ominous sign for the second and specifically the 3rd window. It may also mean our predicted number of storms would be low, but I’m not going to press the panic stitch yet.
First, our prediction for the Pacific, specifically Baja California for June 2nd, has a little disturbance that is within the window and location of our target area. The next 2 chances for this to hit is July 17 or August 31st.
The last 4-5 runs of the GFS has tropical activity picking up around Sunday with a storm hitting the Gulf Coast around June 25th. This would be in line with our June 28th Gulf Coast prediction for Florida. This model has it hitting New Orleans or Gulf Port. We will issue a Hurricane Watch when we get a little closer to the target.
Below is our predicted solution for the storm to hit with the activity converging near the bullseye. This storm could hit anywhere in the convergence zone and would likely move east. The GFS originally had the Gulf Coast of Florida being hit. I favor this solution.
Typhoon
Finally, if you go way out to June 29th there is an indication of out Typhoon showing up. That is more than 300 hours away, so we’ll keep a eye on it.
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Crystal Mountain, Mount Hood Meadows, Timberline, 49 Degrees North, Bachelor, Mt Baker,
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Heavenly, Palisades Tahoe, Kirkwood, Dodge Ridge, Donner Ski Ranch
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Alta, Park City, Deer Valley, Brighton, Snowbird, Brian Head
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland
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