Welcome Gary Lezak and Weather 2020
There would not be FutureSnow without Gary Lezak, my hometown meteorologist, formerly at KSHB 41, in Kansas City. I started following Gary at least 10 years ago.
He did a weather spot every morning, on Sports Radio 810, where he would describe this repeating weather pattern, the LRC (Lezak’s Recurring Cycle), while promoting his blog. I started following. I was skeptical, at first, then it started to make sense. He would talk about a huge storm that was going to come back and sure enough, it would happen.
You know the rest of the story; I would go on to use his cycle theory to plan ski trips. It worked almost every time. Soon It became a passion—an obsession.
I dove in headfirst taking meteorology classes, to understand what I was reading. It was a crash corse in learning the “language” of weather. I studied charts and read every scholarly journal I could find. Let me tell you, those can be some really dry reads.
Somewhere along the way, Gary and I developed a friendship through email and text messages. He would answer every question I had. We both share a passion for what we are doing, when you meet Gary, you will see that passion.
Gary will be doing a weekly video blog and talk all things pattern. Gary’s company, Weather 2020, provides us a wealth of data products, along with the patent pending model forecasts that we have been using this year.
Long-Range Forecast Prediction Chart
The long-range prediction chart has been posted, finally, to the predictions tab. These are all of the forecast predictions we have made to date. We are currently a perfect 19 for 19, that spans from the original prediction date of Sept 16th to the current storm, in progress. Last year, we ripped off a perfect 20 for 20 before the first bust.
The first bust will likely happen today, as the Pacific Northwest storm is looking like it will be east of the predicted areas, due to an offshore ridge that is pushing the energy further inland.
I will know tomorrow morning. Either way, still an incredible start, knock on wood that it continues. That bust will affect Oregon and Tahoe, but the system is still on track to hit Utah overnight tonight and Thursday and is running a day early, due to the squeeze from the ridging.
Snow Stake Cams
Lingering snow today with cold temperatures thru the rest of the week. The Arctic Oscillation has dived deep into the negative (-4). When that happens, arctic air in northern Canada and the north pole is unleashed, so it will be colder than normal for the foreseeable future. The next system moves in overnight tonight. This is not a big system, so we are looking at 4-6 inches before the lifts open on Thursday. A nice refresh after this week’s deep powder. Moderate winds and cold windchills through friday.
Cut and Paste from above: Lingering snow today with cold temperatures thru the rest of the week. Expect 2-4 for the northern mountains with 0-2 for the central and divide. The Arctic Oscillation has dived deep into the negative (-4). When that happens, arctic air in northern Canada and the north pole is unleashed, so it will be colder than normal for the foreseeable future.
Light snow is expected from the northern to southern ranges. The heaviest snow totals will be in the north around Steamboat, as usual it seems. Winter Park looks to be in a good place as well. Expect 2-4 on the light side and 4-8 on the high side for Steamboat. For vail, Beaver Creek 3-5, Aspen 2-4, areas along the divide 2-3. Sothern and east mountains of Powderhorn, Telluride and Silverton the forecast is tricky, but I will go out on a limb and say 3-4.
Thanks for reading the blog, as always if you have any questions, please ask in the comments below or send an email to Mike@FutureSnow.CO
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland