Welcome and Thank You!
Thank you for being a part of this community! We are moving to a subscription service this week. I hope you will support us and our efforts to bring you this new technology in forecasting.
Our competitors don’t have this technology. They rely on models alone and can’t forecast accurately beyond 10 days. We accurately forecast 30-60 days in advance with a high degree of accuracy (near 90 percent). I read their forecasts yesterday and they were just beginning to pick up on that storm, the previous day–nothing!
Our Long-Range Forecast has been out for a month. The forecast before that, a month in advance too, with a perfect scorecard, in both, to date. No one can predict that far in advance–except us. Someday this will be the standard, but for now you get an advance copy.
Below are the forecasts predicted so far this year. With the aforementioned Christmas week storm beginning with storm 12 on the chart below. We will pick up this conversation below in the Christmas Week section. For now, the current forecast.
Snow Stake Totals
The system moves out of Utah today, but not after multiple powder days and a few more inches of backside snow. Alta has storm totals of 29, Snowbird 24, Park City 18, Deer Valley 16, and Powder Mountain 19. Early returns for Colorado have Steamboat 10, Vail 6, Beaver Creek 6, Powder Horn 4, Aspen 5, Keystone 5, and Arapahoe Basin 3.
Today will be a great day to ride Utah. Cold temperatures, deep snow with windchills -5, winds 8-12 mph. It’ll be nice and warm on long bump runs.
The storm continues for Colorado today thru tomorrow, with today having the heaviest precipitation totals, from 8-12 for the northern mountains, 4-8 for the central and 2-4 for the east and southern mountains. Temperatures will be cold with strong wind chills today near -10. Winds 15-20 from the northwest, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tomorrow, the storm moves out after 2 pm, with additional 2-4 for the northern and central mountains. Cold temperatures with moderate winds for the central and northern mountains. Strong windchills close to -20, yes minus 20 and even stronger near the divide, with ridgetop gusts in the 50’s. There might be some upper mountain closures at Loveland. Lenawee is not open at A-Bay yet, they did get their acceptance test completed, per Als Blog. It won’t be long now.
This next chart below shows the wraparound (backside) snow.
On our last two predictions, on the earlier chart, we kick off Christmas week with a storm in the Cascades. Which until the 18z model yesterday, wasn’t showing up. Let’s back up a minute, storm number 12 kicks us off with a small slider, that is now showing up as well, on the 18th for Washington.
That is a small slider that slides through before the main system follows on the 20th hitting Oregon, Lake Tahoe then moving east northeast through Utah and Colorado. You may remember the U Storm from last year. This storm has an identical path.
That gets us through the 22nd, there are a couple of storms left before the year is over. Will there be Christmas Day and New Year’s Eve snow? Tune in tomorrow.
Next Set of Long-Range Forecast Predictions
If all goes well with the switch to the Subscription service, we will put out our next set of Long-Range Forecasts tomorrow or Thursday.
Thanks for reading the blog, as always if you have any questions, please ask in the comments below or send an email to Mike@FutureSnow.CO
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland