Daily Snow Stake
Surface Chart
All Snow Chart
Pattern Discussion
Storm 43-44 looks like it will miss, due to the energy being cut-off from the main flow. It is going to miss Utah and instead hit Tahoe. This is not a strong storm; it is the precursor to a strong storm that follows. We talked about that yesterday and you can see the history of storm 45-48 below. Chaulk up another bust, unless something unexpected happens.
Teleconnection wise, we are racing towards an enhanced MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation). We will be entering phase 6 sometime tomorrow. We can tell that storm 45-48 will be strong, it will be interesting to see how long the storms that follow are amplified, to gage what kind of lag the MJO has. La Nina is in its weakest position, over the last few years at 0.8 (1.0 last year, at the same period and 1.2 in 2020).
Storm History
We had a strong storm come through at the end of January, that dumped double digit totals in Utah and Colorado. 3-day totals at Alta 23, Snowbird 23, Park City 15 and Brighton 33.
In Colorado, Beaver Creek 23, Vail 24, Steamboat 31 and Crested Butte 21.
Forecast
The cut-off Low system will be hitting the Lake tonight. We are generally expecting 3-5 across the board with some locations in the 4-8 range. Temperatures tomorrow, will be in the mid to upper 20’s with moderate winds 25-20 with gusts around 35 mph. For resorts south of the lake, there is a pretty good chance of adding to the totals during the day Saturday, before the system moves out. I would love for it to stall and dump, but that is unlikely.
Whatever remains from the system reaches New Mexico and Colorado about mid-day on Monday.
Next Storm
The next storm, the big one, begins Monday in Vancouver and works its way on a southeast track, it is a little compressed due to an offshore High-Pressure area. We will dive into this one over the weekend.
Thank you for reading the blog, as always, if you have any questions, or need personalized info for trip forecasts, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co
Long-Range Forecast Predictions thru March
Forecasted Areas
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Crystal Mountain, Mount Hood Meadows, Timberline, 49 Degrees North, Bachelor, Mt Baker,
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Heavenly, Palisades Tahoe, Kirkwood, Dodge Ridge, Donner Ski Ranch
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Alta, Park City, Deer Valley, Brighton, Snowbird, Brian Head
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland
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