Another AR for Tahoe

Snow Stake Cams

Long-Range Predictions thru March

We have our long-range forecast out thru March, there have been a lot of emails regarding the long-range, and I thank you for your patience. Every year, it is very challenging to put all of this together.

We are getting better and better at figuring out the cycle, what the various teleconnections are, and how likely they are to affect the pattern. It’s a lot of calculating, analyzing charts, and waiting.

It is also very rewarding once you figure out what is going on. Sometimes you think you have it all figured out, only to realize you were wrong. It takes all of the aforementioned process and much more, that I won’t bore you with, but there it is.

As always you can email me with other resorts and areas you are interested in. We can forecast for the entire northern hemisphere, so if you are interested in the east coast resorts, Europe, or Canada, just let us know and we will give you a detailed forecast.

Forecast Summary

Light snow showers today in the Pacific Northwest today as small bands of energy reach the Cascades. Moderate amounts will fall as generally 1-3 inches during the day and 2-4 overnight for higher elevation resorts.

Tahoe is under siege today with heavy snow throughout the Sierra until tomorrow evening. Another atomospheric river (AR) has set up. Expected snowfall will be in the 1-5 feet range thru tomorrow night, with the highest totals falling along the crest and lowest totals at Lake level. The usual strong winds with 100 mph winds expected at ridgeline and 50 mph gusts at 7000 ft.

This is a 2-wave system with a small break expected this evening. You can see the break with the high-resolution model under the Tahoe specific forecast below. The next wave cranks up tomorrow morning.

Utah will begin this morning around 8 am, with the heaviest snow falling after the lifts close today. The system reaches Colorado tomorrow, but not much is expected until the second wave hits on Wednesday.