Dec 25, 2024
Daily Snow Stakes
Total Snow Euro, thru Jan 10
Yesterday it was the Euro, and today it is the GFS ensemble that has the most snow. The GFS has performed the best all year so good news. Below is Total Snow thru Jan 10th. Can you believe that? Merry Christmas
Total Snow by Wave, 1. Midnight Tomorrow 2. Midnight Saturday 3. Midnight Monday 4 6pm New Years Day
PNW
Today, the next wave moves in dropping 4-8 throughout the day and a foot to 16″ overnight for Mt Baker, Mt Hood, Crystal, and Mt Bachelor. In central Oregon and Washington resorts Hoodoo and Stevens Pass will be in the 5-10 range by Thursday morning.
Lake Tahoe
Today It was a nice dump at Kirkwood where over a foot of snow fell. We’ll have to wait for the reports to come in today but looking at a few cam this morning it looks pretty good.
Expect bluebird skies for your Christmas riding, high temps at 6000′ will be 35.
Thursday Next system moves in on tomorrow with light amounts until tomorrow night where a stronger wave will roll in. Another 6-10 for Kirkwood and other resorts along the crest. Temps will be much cooler at lake level where it will be in the mid-20’s..
Friday and Saturday we will be dealing with warm temperatures again and possibly rain at lower elevations, so get it tomorrow.
Utah
Today thru Christmas
Scattered snow showers today thru noon, then clearing skies with light winds.
Thursday
A much stronger storm arrives between 7am and 10. Expect 4-8 throughout the day with another 4-8 overnight for Cottonwood resorts Alta, Snowbird, Brighton and Solitude.
Friday is looking great. We were thinking that the strongest part of the storm would hit Friday, and the models are showing just that. Expect a ride the storm day with 10-16 possible by the end of the day for Alta, Snowbird, Brighton and Solitude. Park City, Canyons, and Snowbasin should be in the 4-8 range.
Colorado
Christmas Day
We will have scattered snow showers on Christmas Day with small amounts. This wave will favor the southern mountains with possibly a San Juan Sneak. So, keep an eye on the forecast models. We will be updating the model charts above as warranted but expect 4-8 for Telluride and Wolf Creek.
Thursday and Friday
Then it’s the waiting game until Saturday morning with a decent wave will hitting overnight. This first wave will favor the central and norther mountains with possibly a San Juan Sneak. So, keep an eye on the forecast models. We will be updating as warranted.
Saturday Morning
Early Saturday a stronger wave hits, and if it is like last cycle, Vail had 12″, Beaver Creek, Copper and Breck had 10.
New to FutureSnow?
If you are new to FutureSnow check out this page using the link in purple. It will help to explain some of the terminology you will be reading on our blog, along with our methodology using the Cycling Weather Pattern. Thanks for joining our Team!
Long Range Forecast Predictions
We are sitting at 88.8 % Accurate, which is along our historical average. The Active Pattern is just 5 days away from the storm that will move thru the Pacific Northwest, Lake Tahoe, Utah and Colorado Christmas Eve (PNW, Tahoe) Day (Utah) and Night (Colorado).
Average lead time between when the storms were predicted and when they hit is 23.37 days, which is quite a bit better than model guidance which maxes out at 14 days.
There will be a few storms moving through the Pacific Northwest and Canada between now and the Active Pattern beginning today. Another storm Sunday will hit the PNW and possibly Lake Tahoe and finally a third wave through the PNW and Canada on Monday the 23rd.
Thank you for reading the blog and as always if you have any questions, please email me at Mike@FutureSnow.co.
