Posted April 10, 6:49 am MT 5:49 am PT
Snow Stake Cams
MSLP Surface Chart thru Apr 15
All Snow GFS
Forecast Discussion
Snow showers continue for the northern Cascades and British Columbias Whistler and Revelstoke as an Atmospheric River (AR) stretches from Washington to Hawaii. That system slides down to the southern Cascades this morning bringing rain to Oregon resorts today, before changing over to snow tonight. Snow levels dropping this afternoon from 10,000 feet to 1500 overnight.
Elsewhere, we have warm weather this week with temperatures in the 50’s and even some low 60’s. Spring melt is in full effect until the next system brings cold air with it, beginning Wednesday night, for Utah, and Thursday night for Colorado. Below is the temperature chart through April 16th. You can see the cold air come in along with the storm system.
Due to the warm weather, considerable avalanche danger exists for wet avelanches. The road to Alta/Snowbird has been closing daily due to these conditions, so check before you go. We will dive into this next storm more tomorrow. Thanks for reading! Below is yesterdays blog, in case you missed it during the holiday.
Alta Discussion
Just 23 inches away from the 900 club after smashing the previous record that has been kept over the last 43 years. We have projected 900 by their closing date of April 23rd. The above chart is the long-range ensemble forecast, from the Euro, that takes us to that point. There are 4 storms predicted to occur during that period, which the Euro seemingly concurs with. Incidentally, those 4 storms were predicted by FutureSnow back on March 18th.
Below is the projected snowfall total for the next storm. Not much, it should be more. Let’s give it a couple of day to see how this shakes out.
We continue to be blessed with teleconnection help from the Artic Oscillation that is keeping the cold air in place. The AO is projected to dive negative with the incoming system, storm 80, the 13-14th.
Finally, the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) may also give us a boost. The MJO is projected to enter phase 7 about the same time as the next storm system comes through on the 13th. Now, it won’t help this upcoming storm, because there is a lag between when the phase begins, and when it actually increases storm strength, but the following storms might be affected. Best case scenario, would be another AR for Lake Tahoe that would bring winter back for Utah and Colorado.
Everything is lining up, lets see if we can hang on to winter just a little longer.
Long-Range Predictions thru April 30
Thanks for reading the blog, as always if you have any questions feel free to comment below, or send me an email to Mike@FutureSnow.CO
Forecasted Areas
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Crystal Mountain, Mount Hood Meadows, Timberline, 49 Degrees North, Bachelor, Mt Baker,
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Heavenly, Palisades Tahoe, Kirkwood, Dodge Ridge, Donner Ski Ranch
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Alta, Park City, Deer Valley, Brighton, Snowbird, Brian Head
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland
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