Active Part of the Pattern thru Aug 22
Hurricane Debby, now official, will run thru Florida towards Georga today. We predicted a hurricane to hit the Gulf side of Florida August 12th–7 days early and not within our +/- 5-day window. We will take partial credit for Hurricane Debby by predicting the path and location.
We are entering the window of our predicted storms of Florida (12th), Taiwan (13th) the return of Beryl, Corpus Christi/Brownsville (16th).
Looking out into the Pacific we have a disturbance that is in the same place and time (different cycle) as Hurricane Beryl. Currently the National Hurricane Center lists a less than 40% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next 2 days. We will be watching this storm intently as the possibility of a back-to-back storm would be extraordinary.
Official Predictions for 2024 (Thru October 1) Made June 3, 2024
12 Storms, 6 Hurricanes, 2 Major
Hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30, our forecast is thru October 1st. That is a distinction that needs to be reiterated. By October 1st, a completely new pattern emerges and storms that occur after that date, for the most part, are the new pattern. Meaning the LRC cannot know what that new pattern is until it develops.
Below is a list of major weather companies predictions for this year, compiled by the Barcelona Supercomputing Center. https://seasonalhurricanepredictions.bsc.es/
Pacific Northwest Cascade Mountains
Crystal Mountain, Mount Hood Meadows, Timberline, 49 Degrees North, Bachelor, Mt Baker,
Lake Tahoe Sierra Mountains
Heavenly, Palisades Tahoe, Kirkwood, Dodge Ridge, Donner Ski Ranch
Utah Wasatch Mountains
Alta, Park City, Deer Valley, Brighton, Snowbird, Brian Head
Colorado Rocky Mountains
Aspen, Aspen Highlands, Snowmass, Vail, Beaver Creek, Winter Park, Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, Breckenridge, Copper Mountain, Powderhorn, Ski Cooper, Telluride, Crested Butte, Silverton, Wolf Creek, Eldora, Loveland
Aspen Weather, Vail Weather, Lake Tahoe Weather, Breckenridge Weather, Beaver Creek Weather, Copper Mountain Weather, Arapahoe Basin Weather, Winter Park Weather, Telluride Weather, Crested Butte Weather, Eldora Weather, Loveland Weather, Alta Weather, Park City Weather, Deer Valley Weather, Snowbird Weather
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